
December 16, 2004
Position 38 49S, 69 13E, @ 10:45 UT
Here it Comes...
Ok, bring
it on!
Although
I hoped today's weather files would say otherwise, an intense low
pressure trough is bearing down on us with no escape route to the
north or south. The high winds will be bad enough, but the real
problem will be the seas generated by the rapidly changing wind
direction as the winds circle around the low as it goes by.
First with northerlies
up to 40kts or more (the Vendee weather bulletin predicts up to
55 in some areas), then the winds back rapidly around to the southwest.
The cross seas could easily be the worst that I have ever been in,
and I'm not looking forward to it.
We
can't outrun it and it looks like the darn thing will intensify
directly in our path tomorrow. So we are in no particular hurry
except to get it over with and hope for some fast sailing conditions
after it moves on. Looking past tomorrow, our north latitude will
actually be a good thing as solid 40kt winds are predicted to the
south of where we will be. The wind direction that fills in should
be a good direction for a reasonable heading to get us back south
at a good speed.
This
is all assuming that we don't break anything in the giant washing
machine tomorrow. To that end, I have spent the day preparing for
rough weather. The reacher has been rolled up, lowered and stowed
below, and the mainsail lowered and checked then rehoisted to the
third reef. I was going to go with the staysail but decided now
is as good a time as any to use our storm jib (for the first time!).
The big wind isn't here yet, so you can call me a sissy, but the
storm jib is up and ready.
Its
first test could be a good one. Behind us things look a lot different
than looking forward.
The barometer is dropping
at an increasing rate which is a sign that confirms what is coming.
My plan is to drop the
main altogether if it gets too windy or if we need to slow down
in the cross seas. It could be difficult as when it's real windy
the sail doesn't like to come down. I guess that's about the only
time where the lightweight but tough Cuben Fiber sailcloth in the
sail could be heavier! But, if I have to, I will rig a tackle or
something with a hook that will help.
It is starting to rain
outside now after two days of sun. What bothers me the most about
a storm like this is that there is no sure way to know exactly where
it will go or how strong it will get. Computer generated weather
files have a hard time predicting the position of fast moving fronts,
and that's all we really have to go on.
Oh
well, no one ever said this would be easy. Hopefully after this
passes by we can get back to racing and have decent conditions for
it.
Bruce Schwab, Skipper
USA 05/Ocean Planet
Web: www.bruceschwab.com
Education: www.oceanplanet.org
Email: bruce@bruceschwab.com
Phone: 843-670-6582
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